FIRST RELEASE

CROATIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS
10000 ZAGREB, ILICA 3, PHONE: +385 1 4806-111, P.O.B. 80, CROATIA

ISSN 1334-0565

 

YEAR: XLVI.

ZAGREB, 28 JANUARY, 2010

NUMBER: 2.1.3/12.

 

 

OBLIGED TO NOTIFY DATA SOURCE

 

 

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION VOLUME INDICES –

SEASONALLY AND WORKING-DAY ADJUSTED INDICES AND TREND, 2009

 

The total industrial production in the Republic of Croatia in December 2009, as compared to November 2009, decreased by 0.5%.

 

The monthly industrial production in the Republic of Croatia in December 2009, as compared to December 2008, decreased by 6.9%.

 

In the period from January 2009 to December 2009, as compared to the industrial production in the period from January 2008 to December 2008, the total industrial production decreased by 8.2%.

 

Regarding the NKD 2007. sections, in December 2009, as compared to November 2009, the production in Mining and quarrying decreased by 0.5%, in Manufacturing by 0.3% and in Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply by 0.2%. Regarding the MIGs 2009., the production of Non-durable consumer goods increased by 0.3%, the production of Energy and of Durable consumer goods remained at the same level, that is, the change rate was 0.0%, while the production of Capital goods decreased by 0.5% and of Intermediate goods by 0.3%.

 

 

1.     MONTHLY CHAIN CHANGE RATES (month compared with previous one) CALCULATED ON TREND BASIS

 

2009.

 

I.

II.

III.

IV.

V.

VI.

VII.

VIII.

IX.

X.

XI.

XII.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total B, C and  D

-1,3

-0,7

-0,3

-0,3

-0,8

-0,9

-0,6

-0,5

-0,3

-0,3

-0,6

-0,5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

According to NKD 2007. sections

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

B   Mining and quarrying

-1,7

-0,6

0,5

0,7

0,2

-0,7

-1,8

-2,7

-2,4

-1,2

-0,5

-0,5

C   Manufacturing

-0,2

-0,2

0,0

0,0

-0,3

-0,4

-0,3

-0,2

-0,2

-0,2

-0,4

-0,3

D   Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply

4,8

1,3

-0,1

-2,5

-5,4

-2,7

1,7

0,9

0,0

0,9

0,2

-0,2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

According to MIGs 2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AI  Intermediate goods

-1,3

-0,7

-0,5

-0,6

-0,9

-0,9

-0,7

-0,5

-0,4

-0,4

-0,4

-0,3

AE Energy

3,9

1,3

0,2

-1,5

-3,4

-2,1

0,3

0,1

-0,3

0,1

-0,2

0,0

BB Capital goods

0,6

0,0

-0,6

-0,5

-0,6

-0,8

-0,9

-1,0

-0,6

-0,3

-0,5

-0,5

CD          Durable consumer goods

0,1

0,2

0,2

0,2

0,2

0,2

0,2

0,1

0,1

0,1

0,0

0,0

CN          Non-durable consumer goods

-12,2

0,3

0,5

0,5

0,3

0,3

0,3

0,3

0,3

0,3

0,3

0,3

 

 

In December 2009, as compared to December 2008, the industrial production in Mining and quarrying decreased by 10.3%, in Manufacturing by 2.5% and in Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply by 1.4%. Regarding the MIGs 2009., the production trend of Durable consumer goods increased by 1.5%, while the production trend of Non-durable consumer goods decreased by 9.0%, of Intermediate goods by 7.1%, of Capital goods by 5.7%  and of Energy by 1.9%.

 


2.     MONTHLY INTER-ANNUAL AND ANNUAL TREND-BASED CHANGE RATES

 

Month compared with same month last year

Annual rates

2009.

I.– XII. 2009.

I.– XII. 2008.

VII.

VIII.

IX.

X.

XI.

XII.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total B, C and  D

-9,3

-9,1

-8,8

-8,3

-7,8

-6,9

-8,2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

According to NKD 2007. sections

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

B   Mining and quarrying

-10,0

-11,2

-12,0

-12,3

-11,6

-10,3

-10,1

C   Manufacturing

-10,6

-10,6

-10,6

-10,9

-11,3

-2,5

-9,8

D   Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply

-4,3

-2,9

-2,6

1,5

3,0

-1,4

1,8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

According to MIGs 2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AI  Intermediate goods

-9,9

-9,6

-9,4

-9,0

-8,3

-7,1

-8,8

AE Energy

-2,9

-1,0

-0,1

2,0

1,9

-1,9

1,4

BB Capital goods

-15,7

-16,5

-17,5

-18,3

-18,9

-5,7

-15,3

CD          Durable consumer goods

-24,9

-24,7

-24,6

-24,5

-24,5

1,5

-23,5

CN          Non-durable consumer goods

-9,8

-9,5

-9,3

-9,1

-9,0

-9,0

-9,8

 

 

Comparing the last twelve months with the previous ones (average annual chain change rate), the section Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply increased by 1.8%, while Mining and quarrying decreased by 10.1% and Manufacturing by 9.8%. Regarding the MIGs 2009., Energy increased by 1.4%, while Durable consumer goods decreased by 23.5%, Capital goods by 15.3%, Non-durable consumer goods by 9.8% and Intermediate goods by 8.8%.

 

 

3.     MONTHLY CHAIN CHANGE RATES OF SELECTED NKD 2007. DIVISIONS, CALCULATED ON TREND BASIS

 

2009.

VII.

VIII.

IX.

X.

XI.

XII.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

06  Extraction of crude petroleum and natural gas

0,0

0,0

0,0

0,0

0,0

0,0

10  Manufacture of  food products

0,3

0,8

1,0

0,6

-0,1

0,0

11  Manufacture of beverages

-0,3

-0,3

-0,2

-0,3

-0,3

-0,2

16  Manufacture of wood and of products of wood
     and cork, except furniture; manufacture of
     articles of straw and plaiting materials

0,5

0,1

-0,4

-0,7

-0,5

-0,2

18 Printing and reproduction of recorded media

-0,8

-0,3

0,4

-0,7

-0,4

0,9

20  Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products

0,0

0,0

0,0

0,0

0,0

0,0

23 Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products

-1,4

2,1

3,8

3,0

-20,0

2,1

25  Manufacture of fabricated metal products,
except machinery and equipment

-0,7

-0,2

0,3

0,4

0,0

-0,1

27  Manufacture of electrical equipment

-1,7

-1,6

-1,8

-1,8

-1,4

-1,3

28 Manufacture of machinery and equipment n. e. c.

-4,3

-4,9

-3,7

-2,2

-2,2

-2,4

30  Manufacture of other transport equipment

-3,1

-3,4

-3,2

-2,9

-2,9

-2,9

33  Repair and installation of machinery and equipment

1,1

0,9

0,5

0,2

-0,6

-0,7

 

According to the selected NKD 2007. divisions, in December 2009, as compared to the previous month, the industrial production increased in the following divisions: Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products by 2.1% and Printing and reproduction of recorded media by 0.9%, while in Extraction of crude petroleum and natural gas, in Manufacture of food products as well as in Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products it remained at the same level as in the previous month, that is, the change rate was 0.0%. The decrease was recorded in the following divisions: Manufacture of other transport equipment by 2.9%, Manufacture of machinery and equipment n. e. c. by 2.4%, Manufacture of electrical equipment by 1.3%, Repair and installation of machinery and equipment by 0.7%, Manufacture of beverages by 0.2%, Manufacture of wood and of products of wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials by 0.2% and Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment by 0.1%.

 


4.     MONTHLY INTER-ANNUAL AND ANNUAL TREND-BASED CHANGE RATES, ACCORDING TO SELECTED NKD 2007. DIVISIONS

 

Month compared with same
month last year

Annual rates

 

2009.

I.– XII.2009.

I.– XII.2008.

 

VIII.

IX.

X.

XI.

XII.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

06  Extraction of crude petroleum and natural
     gas

-0,1

0,0

0,0

0,0

0,0

-0,1

10  Manufacture of  food products

-4,5

-2,4

-0,7

0,1

1,0

-4,2

11  Manufacture of beverages

-2,2

-2,4

-2,6

-2,7

-2,7

-1,6

16  Manufacture of wood and of products
     of wood and cork, except furniture;
     manufacture of articles of straw and
     plaiting materials

7,5

6,5

4,8

4,0

3,6

3,4

18 Printing and reproduction of recorded media

-7,8

-5,3

-4,5

-5,0

-5,0

-5,6

20  Manufacture of chemicals and chemical
     products

-0,4

-0,3

-0,3

-0,2

-0,1

-0,2

23 Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products

-9,9

-8,0

-6,2

-22,2

-16,9

-10,4

25  Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment

-27,0

-27,0

-27,1

-27,5

-1,8

-24,3

27  Manufacture of electrical equipment

-8,9

-9,6

-10,4

-11,2

-12,4

-7,0

28 Manufacture of machinery and equipment  n. e. c.

-29,8

-31,7

-32,1

-31,9

-31,4

-24,7

30  Manufacture of other transport equipment

-22,4

-24,5

-26,1

-27,8

-29,5

-16,9

33  Repair and installation of machinery and equipment

11,6

9,8

7,3

4,9

3,0

8,0

 

 

In December 2009, as compared to the same month of the previous year, according to the selected NKD 2007. divisions, the industrial production in Manufacture of wood and of products of wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials increased by 3.6%, in Repair and installation of machinery and equipment by 3.0% and in Manufacture of food products by 1.0%, while in   Extraction of crude petroleum and natural gas it remained at the same level as in the same month of previous year, that is, the change rate was 0.0%. The decrease was recorded in the following divisions: Manufacture of machinery and equipment n. e. c. by 31.4%, Manufacture of other transport equipment by 29.5%, Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products by 16.9%, Manufacture of electrical equipment by 12.4%, Printing and reproduction of recorded media by 5.0%, Manufacture of beverages by 2.7%, Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment by 1.8% and Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products by 0.1%.

 


In the period from January 2009 to December 2009, as compared to the previous twelve months, according to the selected NKD 2007. divisions, the industrial production increased in the following divisions: Repair and installation of machinery and equipment by 8.0% and Manufacture of wood and of products of wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials by 3.4%.  The decrease was recorded in the following divisions: Manufacture of machinery and equipment
n. e. c.
by 24.7%, Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment by 24.3%, Manufacture of other transport equipment by 16.9%, Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products by 10.4%, Manufacture of electrical equipment by 7.0%, Printing and reproduction of recorded media by 5.6%, Manufacture of food products by 4.2%, Manufacture of beverages by 1.6%, Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products by 0.2% and Extraction of crude petroleum and natural gas by 0.1%.

 

All change rates in this Release were calculated on the trend basis.

 

 

5.     INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION INDICES, ACCORDING TO SELECTED NKD 2007. DIVISIONS

 

 

2005. = 100

 

Original indices

Trend

2009.

2009.

X.

XI.

XII.

X.

XI.

XII.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

06  Extraction of crude petroleum and natural gas

98,9

99,8

104,7

104,6

104,6

104,6

10  Manufacture of  food products

121,9

114,9

103,0

109,9

109,8

109,8

11  Manufacture of beverages

99,0

80,8

121,5

105,7

105,5

105,3

16  Manufacture of wood and of products of
     wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture
     of articles of straw and plaiting materials

117,3

125,9

102,7

119,9

119,4

119,1

18 Printing and reproduction of recorded media

120,4

119,5

143,6

122,5

122,0

123,1

20  Manufacture of chemicals and chemical products

121,1

115,5

101,7

109,4

109,5

109,5

23 Manufacture of other non-metallic mineral products

120,7

85,8

68,1

104,9

83,9

85,7

25  Manufacture of fabricated metal products, except machinery
and equipment

111,8

108,8

89,6

98,4

98,4

98,3

27  Manufacture of electrical equipment

76,9

84,8

77,8

78,5

77,4

76,4

28 Manufacture of machinery and equipment n. e. c.

101,7

101,3

84,2

92,2

90,2

88,0

30  Manufacture of other transport equipment

80,1

82,3

63,9

77,9

75,7

73,5

33  Repair and installation of machinery and
     equipment

164,1

153,2

147,7

150,3

149,4

148,4

 


6.     INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION VOLUME INDICES, TOTAL AND ACCORDING TO NKD 2007. SECTIONS

 

 

 

 

2005. = 100

 

Total B, C and D

B  Mining and quarrying

C  Manufacturing

Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply

 

Original
indices

Seasonally
adjusted
indices

Trend

Original
indices

Seasonally
adjusted
indices

Trend

Original
indices

Seasonally
adjusted
indices

Trend

Original
indices

Seasonally
adjusted
indices

Trend

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008.

V.

112,9

109,7

111,1

116,0

110,0

112,6

114,9

109,7

111,6

99,4

108,8

109,3

VI.

115,3

112,9

110,9

115,8

116,2

112,9

117,4

113,3

111,5

101,5

115,0

111,6

VII.

118,2

111,0

110,4

119,3

114,6

112,4

120,9

112,1

111,3

100,6

108,2

110,0

VIII.

101,0

108,9

109,6

114,0

111,4

110,8

100,3

108,9

111,1

99,7

108,9

109,3

IX.

112,7

108,9

108,8

108,0

105,4

109,1

114,7

110,3

111,0

101,8

111,6

109,1

X.

116,0

109,3

108,0

117,0

110,5

108,1

118,5

111,6

111,0

99,4

104,5

105,7

XI.

110,3

108,2

106,8

111,0

108,4

106,7

111,4

110,5

111,1

102,3

102,0

104,3

XII.

104,4

104,6

105,2

98,7

103,9

104,6

102,0

103,4

100,8

121,6

108,0

108,7

2009.

I.

87,2

101,4

103,8

88,7

100,5

102,8

80,4

99,4

100,6

138,2

116,9

113,9

II.

94,2

102,4

103,1

86,6

98,5

102,2

90,9

100,1

100,5

123,9

114,5

115,4

III.

105,4

101,8

102,8

104,5

103,5

102,8

102,6

99,2

100,5

127,2

116,5

115,3

IV.

106,4

105,4

102,5

107,3

104,3

103,5

105,2

103,4

100,4

115,4

114,5

112,5

V.

104,6

101,7

101,7

111,5

105,3

103,7

105,6

100,4

100,2

95,0

104,8

106,4

VI.

99,4

99,0

100,8

105,9

105,9

103,0

100,9

98,6

99,8

87,1

101,2

103,6

VII.

107,5

100,9

100,1

107,8

102,8

101,1

108,8

99,9

99,5

98,5

106,4

105,3

VIII.

92,6

98,4

99,6

101,2

98,4

98,4

91,5

98,5

99,3

97,4

106,8

106,2

IX.

101,9

98,5

99,3

93,4

91,2

96,0

103,4

99,1

99,2

94,7

104,7

106,2

X.

106,1

101,4

99,0

101,4

94,9

94,9

106,8

101,2

99,0

103,4

108,5

107,2

XI.

100,9

97,5

98,5

96,8

94,3

94,3

100,3

97,7

98,6

107,1

107,0

107,4

XII.

98,4

97,0

97,9

88,1

93,5

93,9

96,2

96,0

98,3

120,2

106,8

107,2

 

 

7.     INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION VOLUME INDICES, ACCORDING TO MIGs 2009.

 

 

 

 

 

2005. = 100

 

Intermediate goods

Energy

Capital goods

Durable consumer goods

Non-durable consumer goods

 

Original
indices

Seasonally
adjusted
indices

Trend

Original
indices

Seasonally
adjusted
indices

Trend

Original
indices

Seasonally
adjusted
indices

Trend

Original
indices

Seasonally
adjusted
indices

Trend

Original
indices

Seasonally
adjusted
indices

Trend

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008.

V.

113,3

105,3

106,6

99,7

106,8

107,0

130,8

126,8

131,2

121,0

116,9

121,7

111,1

106,0

108,2

VI.

113,6

109,1

106,3

100,8

112,3

108,7

134,8

132,9

130,5

124,2

121,5

121,6

114,9

109,1

108,3

VII.

115,1

108,3

105,7

101,1

105,2

106,8

128,0

127,0

130,0

123,9

121,2

121,5

125,2

109,4

108,5

VIII.

95,8

103,1

104,8

99,4

104,3

104,8

109,8

123,2

130,0

79,0

97,3

121,4

104,6

109,8

108,6

IX.

114,0

105,5

104,1

97,8

104,9

103,6

134,9

131,3

130,7

123,2

121,9

121,3

108,7

107,3

108,6

X.

116,1

106,2

103,3

97,8

100,7

101,5

142,0

136,5

131,5

127,5

120,3

121,3

112,7

107,0

108,7

XI.

106,4

104,7

102,1

98,4

98,9

101,5

131,7

130,0

131,9

115,2

111,2

121,2

109,8

108,4

108,9

XII.

85,3

98,9

100,6

116,3

105,2

105,3

112,8

109,2

112,8

89,0

94,1

90,2

112,9

109,7

109,2

2009.

I.

68,6

93,7

99,3

127,7

111,8

109,3

104,2

118,6

113,5

74,5

84,1

90,3

77,5

96,1

95,8

II.

87,2

97,6

98,6

114,3

110,0

110,8

118,1

119,8

113,4

88,6

88,7

90,4

80,8

93,0

96,1

III.

105,9

98,2

98,1

119,7

111,7

111,0

112,6

108,0

112,8

98,3

92,6

90,6

93,8

95,5

96,6

IV.

107,3

99,9

97,5

111,2

111,4

109,4

115,7

113,7

112,2

97,4

93,5

90,8

98,7

101,3

97,1

V.

103,9

96,0

96,7

97,0

104,2

105,6

118,3

114,1

111,5

94,0

89,9

91,0

102,7

97,6

97,4

VI.

97,8

94,4

95,9

90,2

101,9

103,4

109,6

109,4

110,6

90,1

89,0

91,1

100,5

96,9

97,6

VII.

101,1

94,3

95,2

99,9

104,2

103,7

113,0

111,9

109,6

98,5

95,8

91,3

114,0

98,0

97,9

VIII.

87,0

93,4

94,7

99,6

104,7

103,8

93,0

105,0

108,5

76,1

92,8

91,4

94,2

97,4

98,2

IX.

102,1

93,7

94,4

94,3

101,8

103,5

108,7

105,3

107,8

109,0

107,8

91,5

100,4

99,0

98,5

X.

103,8

94,9

94,0

102,4

105,4

103,6

113,0

109,0

107,5

112,3

106,6

91,5

105,0

100,9

98,8

XI.

94,4

91,7

93,6

101,2

102,1

103,4

112,7

109,2

107,0

108,0

102,5

91,5

99,9

96,9

99,1

XII.

80,7

93,1

93,4

114,9

103,8

103,3

106,0

101,0

106,4

84,9

88,5

91,5

104,3

99,2

99,4

 


NOTES ON METHODOLOGY

 

Seasonal adjustment has been done by using the TRAMO-SEATS method on the monthly index series, which starts with the January 1998 index for the total industry (sections B, C and D, excluding group 35.3) and for selected NKD 2007.1) divisions as well as for the Main Industrial Groupings, version 2009 (MIGs 2009.). A trend is a series of seasonally adjusted indices from which a random component has been excluded. Due to the character of the implemented seasonal adjustment method, the extension of index series, by adding of new monthly observations for each new month, October cause subsequent corrections of already published seasonally adjusted indices and trend for several months backwards.

 

Since January 2009, new definitions have been applied for MIGs aggregations in the calculation of aggregated indices in regard of a further harmonisation with the EU statistical standards.2) Thus, in all publications of the Central Bureau of Statistics it will be marked with MIGs 2009. instead of the previously used MIGs 2001. The grouping at the level of the NKD 2007. groups or divisions according to the MIGs 2009., using alphabetic marks of abbreviations, was done as follows:

 

AI     Intermediate goods: the NKD 2007. divisions and groups: 07 – 09, 10.6, 10.9, 13.1 – 13.3, 16, 17, 20.1 – 20.3, 20.5, 20.6, 22 – 24, 25.5 – 25.7, 25.9, 26.1, 26.8, 27.1 – 27.4  and 27.9

 

AE   Energy: the NKD 2007. divisions: 05, 06, 19 and 35

 

BB   Capital goods: the NKD 2007. divisions and groups: 25.1 – 25.4, 26.2, 26.3, 26.5, 26.6, 28, 29, 30.1 –  30.4, 32.5 and 33

 

CD  Durable consumer goods: the NKD 2007. divisions and groups:  26.4, 26.7, 27.5, 30.9, 31, 32.1 and 32.2

 

CN   Non-durable consumer goods: the NKD 2007. divisions and groups: 10.1 – 10.5, 10.7, 10.8, 11, 12, 13.9, 14, 15, 18, 20.4, 21,          32.3, 32.4 and 32.9

 

Comparability of series according to MIGs 2009.

 

Industrial production volume indices for the MIGs 2009. aggregates published in this first release are not comparable to industrial production volume indices previously published in releases or other publications of the Central Bureau of Statistics for the MIGs 2001. aggregates or for MIGs versions before 2009. This is because different concepts, classifications and definitions were used for their groupings, so it is not possible to combine or directly link them. 

 

Time series of monthly indices of industrial production that were backcasted from NKD 2002. activities to NKD 2007. activities at the level of MIGs 2009. aggregates for the period from January 1998 to December 2008 were published on 19 May 2009 in tables 8. and 9. of the First Release No. 2.1.3/1.

 

The selected NKD 2007. divisions were defined on the basis of their participation in the gross value added of industry of the Republic of Croatia. Relative amounts (division structure), with which particular industrial divisions of NKD 2007. participate in the gross value added of industry of the Republic of Croatia, are published in the First Release No. 2.1.1. Industrial production volume index, in which original indices of industrial production are published for the first time and which is usually issued one week before this first release. 

 

Special notes to users

 

Time series of monthly indices of industrial production backcasted from NKD 2002. activities to NKD 2007. activities at the level of sections and divisions as well as MIGs 2009. aggregates are available for the period from January 1998 to December 2008 and were published on 19 May 2009 in tables 8. and 9. of the first release No. 2.1.3/1.

 

In addition, backcasted time series are also available in the electronic form on the basis of users’ personal request to the Statistical Information and Documentation, Archive and Publications Division of the Central Bureau of Statistics.

 

1)   The National Classification of Activities – NKD 2007. (NN, No. 58/07 and 72/07)

2)   The MIGs 2009. is an acronym for the Main Industrial Groupings, 2009 version, which are harmonised with the EU aggregates (MIGs 2009) according to the       Commission Regulation (EC) No. 656/2007 of 14 October 2007 on Implementing the Council Regulation (EC) No. 1165/98 concerning short-term statistics in regards       to the definitions of Main Industrial Groupings (MIGs).

 

Abbreviations

 

MIGs 2001.  Main Industrial Groupings, 2001 version

MIGs 2009.  Main Industrial Groupings, 2009 version

n.e.c.             not elsewhere classified

NKD 2002.   National Classification of Activities, 2002 version

NKD 2007.   National Classification of Activities, 2007 version

NN                 Narodne novine, official gazette of the Republicof Croatia

 

Symbols

 

0,0     value not zero but less than 0.05 of the unit of measurused